Polls Show Americans are Stupid

Posted on March 24, 2010
Filed Under Philosophy, Politics | 17 Comments

I want to make a larger philosophical point on all this. But Graham Harman noted a poll showing a surprising number of Republicans believing silly things like Obama is a Muslim or non-American. I think the original poll is at The Daily Beast. Now one has to be somewhat careful with these things. It’s easy to frame the questions so answers are biased.

As stupid as these polls are it’s not hard to find nearly identical sorts of things from the previous administration. For instance a 2007 Rasmussent Poll had 35% of Democrats beliving Bush knew about the 9/11 attack prior to it happening and 29% aren’t sure. So only 35% thought Bush was surprised by the attack. And that’s a bit scarier a belief that thinking the President doesn’t have a proper birth certificate or get his religion wrong.

But most troubling what does this say about democracy?

Effectively I think that at any time you have nearly all Americans ignorant of policy and a large number just believing absolutely ridiculous things about the opposing side.

Many of us disagree politically but we have good reasons for our disagreements. We’re informed even if we are ignorant about a lot. But we’re a small minority. Most voters – the ones who effectively decide elections – are just amazingly bad thinkers. Why on earth should we trust them?

I’ve no good answer beyond the old stanza of Democracy is a horrible way to govern – it’s just that all the rest are even worse. One reason why I try to avoid political philosophy as much as possible.

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Comments

17 Responses to “Polls Show Americans are Stupid”

I agree with you about the 9/11 conspiracy theories. But you left out the worst part of the Obama poll: the “antichrist” part, which I think is every bit as scary.

And I want to add one other point. You say, in relation to the 9/11 conspriacy theorists: “And that’s a bit scarier a belief that thinking the President doesn’t have a proper birth certificate or get his religion wrong.”

The problem here is that you are treating the birth certificate and religion issues as though they were mere factual blunders. But that’s not the case. The facts (Obama is a Christian and does have a valid Hawaii birth certificate) are widely known, and *especially* widely known by those who deny that either is genuine.

In other words, the issues of Obama’s religion and nationality are directly linked to a wild conspriacy theory of the “Manchurian candidate” variety– Obama “wants the terrorists to win.” We are “losing our country,” etc.

But here’s where you have a point: some of those who are now outraged about wild Obama theories were indeed the same people who came up with wild 9/11 theories.

The remarkable thing to me about most conspiracy theories is that they are usually brought into play in situations in which they aren’t even necessary. For example, one could make a perfectly respectable case that “Bush and Cheney exploited 9/11 for an extremist foreign policy agenda,” instead of losing one’s mind and claiming that post-9/11 events were a pre-planned conspiracy rather than opportunism. Another example comes from those who choose to defend the Palestinians with Holocaust denial, when one could make a perfectly good case for the Palestinians without drinking from that dark brew.

3 Floyd the Wonderdog on March 25th, 2010 4:10 am

Let’s not forget that the bell curve also has a lower slope.

Clark,

Just a small quibble. It’s understandable that 35% of Democrats felt Bush knew about 9/11. He was after all briefed in August 2001 with a memo entitled “Bin Laden Determined To Strike In US.” Just sayin’. ;)

That said, with the amount of disinformation out there, does it really surprise you that uninformed electorate is, well, uninformed?

Let’s give thanks for the world’s best education system! Oh wait….

Just remember, these polls are on the same level as some of the polls coming out of Washington DC. A majority of Congress believe that you can keep spending money until you run out of checks. And then you get the credit card(s) out. They believe that the new health care bill will cut taxes and the deficit! Nancy Pelosi said it would save over $1 Trillion. The Bush Administration believed you could do the same thing we did in Vietnam (go in cheaply) and win the war quickly.

Given Bell Curves as they are, I think we keep dropping our over all logic scores. Maybe Thomas Jefferson was right when he thought that not every American should vote….

I don’t think that most people actually believe this things. Instead, they are willing to endorse lies against their enemies. This hatred (on both sides) might be far more damaging than stupidity.

Not what this has to do with political philosophy.

BTW, I think that polling is often more misleading than helpful. This poll is such a waste.

Chris, the larger issue is how to arrive at good governance given the stupidity of people. Of course arguing that the polls are unreflective of what people actually believe – in effect saying people aren’t stupid is one approach. The debate goes back at least to Plato and is basically whether the masses provide good judgment or not. Plato of course is horrified at the thought. Yet there are those of a more Hegelian bent who see a kind of societal evolution and thinks the masses generally get it right.

Rameumpton, I don’t think stupid and intelligence are necessarily opposites. That is I’ve known many otherwise very intelligent and skilled people who end up caught up in conspiracy theories. Of course there is then the old canard of whether very intelligent people are prone to mental illness. If that’s true (and I’m not at all convinced it is) then there should be a borderline where people aren’t incapacitated enough to be called mentally ill but engage in irrational behavior. An other alternative is the prevalence of Asperberger’s Syndrome among the very intelligent. Yet the very way of thinking that can lead to such great theoretical prowess has poor social skills which can lead to some basic problems of common sense with regards to other peoples behaviors.

And then there’s just the fact that you can be intelligent but only skeptical in a narrow range of topics.

Dan, I don’t think the poll is reflecting whether there were indications Al Queda was a threat but rather the particular attack.

Graham, I just don’t know enough about the Evangelical theology of anti-Christs to say much. I’d just note that lots of people get put up as anti-Christs by that group, including Ronald Reagan.

The Harris poll that gave the anti-Christ figure isn’t a truly random poll though. The full poll results are available online. It’s interesting especially to compare the answers based upon whether one has no college or post grad education. What’s scary is how many post-grad people still believe those things. Yes the rates are much lower, but higher than expected. (Perhaps lending credence to Chris’ comments)

Anyway, Harris’ caveat in the small print at the end regarding the poll is significant:

Respondents for this survey were selected from among those who have agreed to participate in Harris Interactive surveys. The data have been weighted to reflect the composition of the adult population. Because the sample is based on those who agreed to participate in the Harris Interactive panel, no estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.

The other odd thing is that quite a few Democrats think he is the anti-Christ and 8% of self-identified liberals think he is the anti-Christ. So there’s something up with this poll. While I still find it deeply troubling, I think there is something to what Chris says.

9 Matthew Chapman on March 25th, 2010 10:06 am

IMHO, people are not generally stupid. What they are, is ignorant, and often, willfully ignorant. And it is not limited to Americans.

Many Muslims “believe” the 9-11 attacks were orchestrated by Israel.

Many Nigerians “believe” that sex with a virgin will cure AIDS.

Many North Koreans “believe” that while conditions are bad in their country, it is worse everywhere else in the world. (Oddly, this is the opinion of many Americans as well)

Many Mormons “believe” that God is on their side, even if they are not particularly on His.

People all over the world are of the opinion that they can confidently predict the long-term consequences of their individual actions, despite thousands of years of evidence to the contrary.

Lack of humility is a logically indefensible position.

Clark,

Chris, the larger issue is how to arrive at good governance given the stupidity of people

Don’t blame the people. Blame those who are in charge of disinforming people, like, say, Roger Ailes. Just look at the stupidity of the tea party movement. I am utterly amazed at how extreme they are going because so much of what they believe is not even close to reality. At the heart of the current lack if political knowledge lies Fox News and its allies.

I’ll blame the people because it’s perfectly easy to inquire and figure out what is going on. And it’s not like it’s just a right wing problem Dan. Sorry, I remember the previous 8 years too well and the ridiculous things the left was saying not to mention under Reagan. I do agree that Fox News is a bit of a problem – but the bigger problem are people who only want to read one source of news. (Liberals or Conservatives) I regularly read a fair assortment of blogs on the left and right to try and figure out the actual issues. There are some I just skip because they are too stupid and asinine. (Say much of the Huffington Post, Daily Kos, RedState, etc.)

But the real issue is that especially the last decade, people have converged on news sources that confirm their biases rather than challenge them. Say what you will about Ailes or Limbaugh but at least they got out points of views that the press simply wasn’t reporting before. So in many ways the previous situation was even worse. However today with all the options open the fact that people stick to a few biased sources without really inquiring is the people’s fault, not the media. It’s not as if there aren’t alternatives to Fox or MSNBC.

I think Chris has it about right. I’ve had students that were “truthers” or “birthers” and all those cases, the students would phrase it like this:

“I’m not saying it’s true. But given [XYZ] it’s suspicous. At the very least, we need to have an investigation into that [explitive] because it’s clear he’s hiding something. This may be it, or not. But you never know.”

It always seemed more like a convenient way to attack their political opposition, rather than something they truly believe deep down.

[On another note, I recall a poll a few years ago that showed Republicans were more likely to believe in angels and demons, but Democrats were more likely to believe in UFOs and alien abductions].

Clark, here’s an interesting article that casts some doubt on the methodology of the poll Graham Harman likely was referencing:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704094104575143713101937570.html?mod=loomia&loomia_si=t0:a16:g2:r1:c0.311519:b32250808

Yes, it’s a WSJ article, which means many people will ignore it offhand, but it makes some interesting points about the poll. It’s thesis is this: “It’s hard to avoid the conclusion that the survey was designed to make Republicans, and only Republicans, look unhinged.”

I had suggested that. When the pollers won’t even provide error bounds something is amiss.

This discussion of the poll is worth reading. It gets at what is wrong with the poll as a poll. (HT: Secular Right)

Doubting a career liar like bush is not stupidity it is completely rational.

Tired, I think most of us here agree that Bush made some poor judgment calls along the way. However, calling him a “career liar” does not add to the rational discussion. It is just ad hominem and emotional garbage that does not lead to anything but more ad hominem and emotions flaring.
As it is, there is plenty of stupidity to go around for not only Pres Bush, but also Congress, Pres Obama, and I would think most Americans as well. How many millions have lost homes they really never could afford in the first place? How many spent themselves into credit card hell, rather than living within their means? The list of stupid things goes on.
Since I don’t know you from Adam, I have no idea whether you could also be a “career liar.” So, let’s keep the discussion rational, otherwise you sound as bad as the one you try to malign….

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